Francisco Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds, and betting tips


Match Details

Fixture: (1) Francisco Cerundolo vs (2) Luciano Darderi

Date: February 15, 2026

Tournament: Argentina Open

Round: Final

Venue: Buenos Aires Lawn Tennis Club, Palermo Barrio, Buenos Aires, Argentina

Category: ATP 250

Surface: Outdoor Clay

Prize Money: $675,310

Live Telecast: USA – Tennis Channel | UK – Sky Sports | Canada – TSN

Francisco Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi preview

Francisco Cerundolo will take on Luciano Darderi in the Argentina Open final on Sunday (February 15, 2026).

Cerundolo has been among the top-20 players on tour. He entered Buenos Aires after a fourth-round exit in Melbourne. The Argentine defeated Zhang Zhizhen and Andrey Rublev in the Australian Open, but lost to Alexander Zverev, 6-2, 6-4, 6-4.

Cerundolo started his campaign in Buenos Aires by cruising past Hugo Dellien and Vit Kopriva in the initial few rounds. He then eliminated Tomas Martin Etcheverry in the semifinal, 6-3, 7-5. The 27-year-old has reached the Argentina Open final for the third time in his career.

Darderi at the Australian Open 2026 - Source: GettyDarderi at the Australian Open 2026 - Source: Getty
Darderi at the Australian Open 2026 – Source: Getty

Meanwhile, Luciano Darderi is starting to raise his level on the main tour. He also reached the fourth round of the Australian Open, but lost to Jannik Sinner in straight sets. The Italian is among the top-25 players in the world.

Darderi continued his rich vein of form in Buenos Aires by cruising past Tomas Barrios Vera and Pedro Martinez in the initial few rounds. He then brushed aside Sebastian Baez in the semifinal, 7-6(2), 6-1. The 24-year-old has reached the Argentina Open final for the first time in his career.

Francisco Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi head-to-head

The head-to-head between the duo is poised at 2-2. Darderi won their most recent encounter in Bastad last year.

Francisco Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi odds

Player Name Moneyline Handicap Bets Total Games
Francisco Cerundolo -130 -1.5 (+165) Over 21.5 (-165)
Luciano Darderi +100 +1.5 (-250) Under 21.5 (+115)

BetMGM sources all the odds.

Francisco Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi prediction

Cerundolo at the IEB+ Argentina Open 2026 - Day 6 - Source: GettyCerundolo at the IEB+ Argentina Open 2026 - Day 6 - Source: Getty
Cerundolo at the IEB+ Argentina Open 2026 – Day 6 – Source: Getty

Cerundolo has a chance to redeem himself after losing the Argentina Open final last year. He has a solid record on clay and will also have the home crowd behind him on Sunday.

Meanwhile, Darderi is starting to make some serious moves on the ATP tour. The Italian came close to reaching the last eight in Melbourne and is now one win away from capturing his fifth title on tour.

Cerundolo will bring his heavy groundstrokes and calm demeanour on the court. Meanwhile, Darderi will rely on his anticipation skills and sharp decision-making on the court.

Cerundolo will face a player who has never lost an ATP tour-level final. He managed to take a set off Darderi during their recent meeting in Bastad, but eventually lost the plot.

Considering their recent results and record on clay, Darderi will have a slight edge in this final. He should be able to absorb the early pressure and provide the knockout blow against Cerundolo on Sunday.

Pick: Cerundolo to win in

Francisco Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi betting tips

Tip 1: Match to have more than 20 games.

Tip 2: Darderi to register more than six aces.